On February 28, 2026, the U.S. and Israel struck Iranian targets.

Deterrence without an exit plan? After Feb 28, Washington will file its War Powers paperwork and sell a narrative, while Tehran will craft a counter-narrative and a response timetable. The UN Security Council will talk, and markets will listen more than diplomats. India should push for de-escalation channels that are boring and constant: backchannel hotlines, maritime safety guarantees, and clear red lines for strikes on shipping.

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